I would like to inform two things predictable about Dengue 1. Its mortality and morbidity rate rises each year. Two, that the vaccine used for Dengue might cause greater morbidity (harm) as per case studies in Vietnam. And lastly, my own hypothesis is that in the 7th year, perhaps 2021, there will be a cascade where death (D) rate will touch MD, where Mega is M = 1e6. There is nothing we can do when the cascade strikes in 2021 because people will become sensitized to DNV1,2,3, or 4 such that an attack by one of these strains will cause DHF or DSS.
Indian capital New Delhi, and State capitals like Kolkata and Bengaluru are struggling to fight the endemic form of dengue. The vaccine has been licensed after Phase III trials and approved by some national regulatory authorities, but is it safe? Data: 20,474 dengue cases (2006-12). 40,571 with 137 deaths in 2014. 100,000 cases and 220…
